Data transparency: Most premium GTA senior residences do not publish monthly rates publicly. Cells are labelled ✓ Verified (cited source), ~ Estimated (derived/comparable), or ⊘ Not published (direct operator enquiry required). Supply gap figures are derived estimates — no government body publishes beds/1,000 at neighbourhood level. Full methodology in footer ↓
GTA Senior Housing Market Intelligence

Where the
Demand Is.
Where the
Supply Isn't.

The most comprehensive analysis of senior housing supply, demand gaps, and development opportunity across the Greater Toronto Area — Burlington to Scarborough.

65+
Facilities Mapped
Source: Google Maps / RHRA 2025
~1%
Ontario Supply Growth 2025
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sept 2025
18.3%
Ontario 65+ share (2024)
Source: Ontario MOF Projections 2025
Bronte Harbour / Downtown Oakville
Waterfront · Zero luxury pipeline · Score: derived estimate
94
Port Credit / South Mississauga
Lakefront village · Waitlisted · Score: derived estimate
81
Leaside / Davisville Village
Bayview corridor · Eglinton LRT · Score: derived estimate
79
Forest Hill / Midtown West
Highest wealth catchment · Score: derived estimate
73
01 — Supply Map

Every Senior Residence Across the GTA

65+ RHRA-licensed retirement residences mapped from Burlington to Scarborough. Facility names, addresses, care types, and ratings sourced from Google Maps (March 2025) and RHRA public registry. Click any marker for details including estimated care type and notes.

Filter by
Submarket

Colour-coded by opportunity tier based on supply/demand modelling. Tier assignments are analytical estimates.

Opportunity Tier
Care Type
Legend
Development Opportunity Zone
Premium facility (4.7★+)
Standard facility
65+
Facilities mapped
Google Maps + RHRA, March 2025

Interactive Map

Requires Google Maps JavaScript API. Add your key to activate all 65+ facility markers with clustering and info windows.

Replace YOUR_API_KEY in the script tag at the bottom of this file — all markers load from the facility dataset automatically.
02 — Opportunity Rankings

Development Opportunity
by Submarket

Composite scores are analytical estimates weighted by supply scarcity (30%), demographic demand (25%), pricing power (20%), land availability (15%), and feasibility (10%). Not independently audited. All monthly rate references for individual facilities require direct operator enquiry — see source notes in each card.

#1 — Prime Opportunity
Bronte Harbour
Downtown Oakville · Lake Ontario Waterfront
94
/ 100 — derived composite score
Primary existing comp
Amica Bronte Harbour (160 Bronte Rd)
Amica IL rate (2026)
$6,520–$13,895/mo verified
Amica IL 1BR range
$7,125–$10,630/mo
Amica AL 1BR range
$8,670–$10,505/mo
Waterfront premium DC exempt (RHRA) Zero IL pipeline ✓ Rates verified 2026
Rate data source: Amica Bronte Harbour 2026 price sheet, obtained directly from operator (March 2026). IL studios from $6,520/mo; IL 1BR $7,125–$10,630; IL 2BR $11,510–$13,895; IL upgrade suites to $14,665. AL studios from $7,095; AL 1BR $8,670–$10,505. Second occupant +$1,000 (IL) or +$1,250 (AL). 139 suites, 38 floor plans, 400–1,126 sq ft, floors 3–8. Personalised nursing care is additional to AL base fee, assessed via wellness interview. Secondary comp Venvi The Kensington (25 Lakeshore W) — rates still not published publicly; direct enquiry required.
#2 — Strong Opportunity
Port Credit
South Mississauga · Hurontario Corridor
81
/ 100 — derived composite score
Primary comp
Shores of Port Credit (Verve)
Shores rate
Not published — appointment required
Waitlist evidence
Multiple Google reviews confirm waitlist at all 3 facilities
Hurontario LRT
Open 2024 (confirmed)
Lakefront village 3 facilities, all waitlisted
Rate data status: Shores of Port Credit website has a "suites and pricing" page but shows no rates — only a booking form. Port Credit Residences (Verve) and Chartwell Regency are the other comps; neither publishes rates. All rates for this submarket require direct enquiry. Waitlist confirmation is from Google review text — not a formal occupancy survey.
#3 — Strong Opportunity
Leaside / Davisville
East Toronto · Bayview / Laird Corridor
79
/ 100 — derived composite score
Key comps
Venvi Leaside, VIVA Leaside
Comp rates
Not published by either
Oakville avg IL (Healthline 2025)
$4,033/mo (reference only)
Avg home value
$2.5M+ (TRREB 2024)
Eglinton Crosstown LRT Ageing homeowner cohort
Rate data status: Neither Venvi Leaside nor VIVA Leaside publishes rates. The $4,033/mo Oakville IL average (Healthline 2025) is provided as a regional reference point only — it covers all Oakville properties and likely understates Leaside-specific pricing, which is a higher-income Toronto neighbourhood. TRREB home value data is confirmed public.
#4 — Good Opportunity
Forest Hill / Midtown W
Toronto · Avenue Rd · St. Clair West
73
/ 100 — derived composite score
Key comps
Hazelton Place, Amica On Avenue
Comp rates
Not published — both require enquiry
Key constraint
Land scarcity in neighbourhood
Avg home value
$3.5M+ (TRREB 2024)
GTA's highest-wealth catchment Site scarcity
Rate data status: Hazelton Place (Verve) and Amica On The Avenue neither publish rates publicly. Described as premium/highest-rate tier in the GTA in industry commentary (Cushman & Wakefield, broker discussions) but no public rate citation is available. TRREB home value data is public record.
#5 — Good Opportunity
Burlington Waterfront
Lakeshore Rd · Aldershot · Plains Rd
68
/ 100 — derived composite score
Key comp
Sunrise Burlington (5401 Lakeshore Rd)
Sunrise rate
Not published publicly
Ontario IL average (CMHC 2021)
$3,999/mo (4yr old data)
DC status
Exempt (RHRA-licensed)
Lower land cost vs Oakville Waterfront sites
Rate data status: Sunrise Senior Living does not publish Canadian property rates. The $3,999 CMHC figure is from the 2021 Seniors Housing Survey — the most recent published federal data. CMHC has not released an updated full survey. Burlington waterfront product likely sits materially above this provincial average given the demographic profile.
#6 — Moderate
North York / Bayview Village
Bayview / Sheppard · Leslie / York Mills
61
/ 100 — derived composite score
Key comps
Amica Bayview Gardens & Village
Amica rates
Not published — consistent with all Amica properties
Competitive density
6+ facilities in submarket
Hospital proximity
Sunnybrook, NYGH, North York General
Hospital-adjacent premium More competitive
Rate data status: Amica policy is consistent — no rates published across all 29 Canadian properties. Canterbury Place (Verve) and Delmanor Northtown similarly do not publish rates publicly. Hospital name data is confirmed public geographic fact.
03 — Pricing Power

Monthly Rates by Submarket

The great majority of GTA premium operators withhold rates and require a direct tour booking to quote. Each cell below shows its confidence level. Only two figures in this section have verified public sources — the Ontario CMHC average and the Halton Healthline average. All other cells represent qualitative tier rankings without specific rate data.

Confidence key — applies to all cells below
✓ Verified — cited public source (CMHC, Healthline)
~ Estimated — derived from comparable markets; not suitable for financial modelling without verification
⊘ Not published — operator withholds pricing; requires direct enquiry
Ultra Luxury
Yorkville / Rosedale
— / mo
No public rate data exists
Hazelton Place (Verve) and any Amica Balmoral-tier product. Both withhold pricing. Widely described as GTA's highest-rate market in industry commentary but no citable public source for a specific figure.
⊘ Not published by any facility
Premium
Forest Hill / Avenue Rd
— / mo
No public rate data
Amica On Avenue, Russell Hill (Cogir), Forest Hill Place (Cogir) — none publish rates. Estimated above Ontario average based on neighbourhood wealth and product positioning only.
⊘ Not published by any facility
★ Opportunity — Verified
Bronte Harbour — Amica Comp
$6,520–$13,895
IL all-inclusive / mo · 139 suites · 38 floor plans
IL studios: $6,520–$7,110 · IL alcove: $7,300–$9,020 · IL 1BR: $7,125–$10,630 · IL 1BR+den: $10,030–$10,850 · IL 2BR: $11,510–$13,895 · Upgrade suites (full kitchen, appliances): 1BR $11,775–$11,995 · 2BR $11,950–$14,665 · AL studios: $7,095–$9,035 · AL 1BR: $8,670–$10,505 · Second occupant +$1,000 (IL) / +$1,250 (AL). Personalised nursing care additional. Secondary comp Venvi The Kensington — rates not published publicly.
✓ Amica Bronte Harbour 2026 price sheet — operator provided
Premium
Port Credit Waterfront
— / mo
No public rate data
Shores of Port Credit (Verve) has a pricing page requiring an appointment — no rates are listed. Port Credit Residences (Verve) similarly withholds rates. Confirmed as a premium GTA waterfront market through Google review text and industry positioning.
⊘ Not published — appointment required
Verified Reference
Oakville IL Average (2025)
$4,033 / mo
Independent living, all Oakville facilities averaged
Healthline directory data citing CMHC and operator-reported averages (2025). This is a blended average across all Oakville IL properties — premium waterfront/downtown products are materially higher. Halton Region blended average (all care types): $4,748/mo from the same source.
✓ Healthline / CMHC data (2025)
Estimated
Leaside / Davisville
Est. above avg
No submarket-level public data
No operator in this submarket publishes rates. Estimated to sit above Ontario average ($3,999 CMHC 2021) given neighbourhood income profile and home values ($2.5M+ TRREB). No citation exists for a specific number.
~ Estimated — no citation available
Verified Reference
Halton Region Avg (2025)
$4,748 / mo
All care types blended, Halton Region
Healthline directory data (2025) — covers Burlington, Oakville, Milton, Halton Hills. Blends premium Oakville waterfront with more affordable inland and Burlington properties. 19% above Ontario average of $3,999 (CMHC 2021).
✓ Healthline / CMHC data (2025)
Verified Reference
Ontario Average (CMHC 2021)
$3,999 / mo
+3.5% YoY from 2020 · Standard spaces
CMHC Seniors Housing Survey 2021 — the most recent full published federal survey. Covers standard spaces (IL/AL, <1.5 hrs care/day). CMHC has not released an equivalent updated survey since 2021. Actual 2025 market rates are likely materially higher given 3–5% annual rent growth across most GTA markets post-pandemic.
✓ CMHC 2021 Seniors Housing Survey

To get real rates: For any individual facility, call and book a tour. Amica quotes within 24–48h. Verve/Cogir/Chartwell typically quote on the call. For market-level data, the Cushman & Wakefield Canadian Senior Housing Market Overview (September 2025) and the next CMHC Seniors Housing Survey (expected 2025/2026) are the authoritative sources.

04 — Supply Gap Analysis

Private-Pay Senior Housing
Beds per 1,000 Residents Age 75+

Industry benchmark: 80–100 beds/1,000 (Cushman & Wakefield / ORCA). All submarket figures below are derived estimates — no government body publishes beds/1,000 at neighbourhood level. Method: facility suite counts (RHRA/operator websites) ÷ Statistics Canada 2021 Census 75+ population by FSA. Estimation uncertainty: ±10–20%. Tilde (~) prefix indicates approximate value.

Bronte Harbour
~25
~25
⚠ Severe Gap
Port Credit Waterfront
~22
~22
Severe Gap
Leaside / Davisville
~28
~28
Severe Gap
Burlington Waterfront
~35
~35
Significant Gap
Etobicoke / Kingsway
~42
~42
Significant Gap
Forest Hill / Midtown W
~48
~48
Moderate Gap
North York / Bayview
~55
~55
Moderate Gap
Uptown Oakville / Glen Abbey
~62
~62
Mild Gap
Benchmark (adequate supply)
80

Methodology — beds per 1,000: Suite counts from RHRA registry, operator websites, and Google Maps data (March 2025). Population denominators from Statistics Canada 2021 Census by FSA. Benchmark of 80–100 from Cushman & Wakefield and ORCA industry reports. All figures approximations — a definitive analysis would require a formal RHRA licensed capacity data request plus Statistics Canada 2026 Census data when available.

50K+
Ontario LTC waitlist as of September 2025. Retirement home waitlists are tracked separately by RHRA and are not published in aggregate.
Source: Ontario LTCA / CPRO September 2025
~1%
Senior housing inventory growth rate in Canada in 2025. "Supply growth remains muted" — demand fundamentals continue to favour operators.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Canadian Senior Housing Overview, September 2025
18.3%
Share of Ontario population aged 65+ in 2024. Projected to reach 22.4% by 2051, with the 80+ cohort growing fastest through 2035.
Source: Ontario Ministry of Finance Population Projections, August 2025
2031
Year natural increase turns negative in Ontario. All population growth thereafter from net migration — concentrated in GTA. Senior cohort growth accelerates through 2040.
Source: Ontario Ministry of Finance Population Projections, August 2025
05 — Contact

Discuss a
Development
Opportunity

Whether you're a developer, operator, or capital partner, we welcome enquiries about specific submarkets, receivership opportunities, or joint venture structures across the GTA senior housing sector.

Focus MarketsBronte Harbour · Port Credit · Leaside · Burlington Waterfront
ExpertiseReceivership acquisitions · CMHC MLI Select · DMA / Forward sale · Operator JV structuring
EnquiriesSubmit the form — we respond within one business day.

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